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Showing posts with label Ulrike Rondorf. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ulrike Rondorf. Show all posts

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Germany: Inflation back in the 2% area

Commerzbank Corporates & Markets
Economic Research
https://research.commerzbank.com

Economic Briefing
Germany: Inflation back in the 2% area

German consumer prices surprisingly rose 0.2% month-on-month in June. Food prices were up significantly once again, probably at least in part due to the floods in Germany. Numerous services became more expensive as well. This development seems to be a consequence of strong wage growth. The rate of inflation jumped from 1.5% in May to 1.9% in June.

Kind regards,

Ulrike Rondorf

Tuesday, April 16, 2013

ZEW: Poor data cause concern among analysts

Commerzbank Corporates & Markets
Economic Research
https://research.commerzbank.com

Economic Briefing
ZEW: Poor data cause concern among analysts

The ZEW Index for economic expectations in Germany tumbled from 48.5 to 36.3 in April, which was a stronger fall than expected by most analysts. The camp of economic optimists has clearly shrunk. This was probably caused by the decline in sentiment indicators in March and the poor data from German industry. Even so, we still expect the German economy to pick up considerably in the coming months. This is likely to be confirmed by the purchasing managers’ index and the Ifo business climate – due next week – that should recover from March-setbacks.

Analyst:
Ulrike Rondorf

Friday, April 12, 2013

German Real Estate Monitor

Commerzbank Corporates & Markets
Economic Research
https://research.commerzbank.com

Economic Insight
German Real Estate Monitor

Residential property prises are rising strongly in German cities. We consider which house price indices are worth looking at and which indicators may warn of possible overheating of the market. The property market should continue to revive in the next few years, above all due to low interest rates. Even though a property bubble is less likely in Germany than it was in Spain or Ireland, the ECB’s long-standing expansionary monetary policy, maintained for the sake of the peripheral countries, poses significant long-term risks.

Analyst:
Ulrike Rondorf

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