_Economy and Finance

Money shortage Andy Xie, The New Century Weekly Summary The so-called money shortage today reflects excessive money demand in the past, which was a result of very loose monetary policy. If the tightening policy is changed due to the pressure, the monetary condition would go back to the excessively loose state. As inflation is still unstable, i.e., product or service price could jump by 20-30% in one go, loosening monetary policy could trigger hyperinflation and social turmoils.

The New Century Weekly Double dipping again Andy Xie May 30, 2011 Summary The double dip scare has begun earlier this year than in 2010. High oil prices, falling property market in the US, sovereign debt crisis in Europe, recession in Japan, and inflation-induced tightening in the emerging economies are exerting downward pressure on the global economy. The growth data will surprise on the downside, inflation data on the upside. Risk assets like stocks and commodities will come under pressure in the summer.