S. Korea: Industrial Production (Nov 2012)
Mole Hau - Market Economics
Asian Instant Insight | 28 Dec 2012 04:22 |
South Korean industrial data surprised significantly to the upside in November. The export-orientated electronics and auto sectors led the move higher as other components were broadly flat. With a fall in working days in December due to the Presidential election and Christmas holidays likely to have pushed forward production, the next release is likely to see some payback. The inventories/shipment ratio is also high and business confidence below average, suggesting overall production will remain below trend levels in the near term. We continue to expect a 25bp rate cut in January, as concerns over the health of the domestic economy outweigh evidence of improving conditions abroad.
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