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Monday, June 27, 2011

Money shortage (Andy Xie)

Money shortage
Andy Xie, The New Century Weekly


Summary

The so-called money shortage today reflects excessive money demand in the past, which was a result of very loose monetary policy. If the tightening policy is changed due to the pressure, the monetary condition would go back to the excessively loose state. As inflation is still unstable, i.e., product or service price could jump by 20-30% in one go, loosening monetary policy could trigger hyperinflation and social turmoils.

Reuters: Exclusive: EU has Plan B if Greece rejects austerity -sources

Reuters: Exclusive: EU has Plan B if Greece rejects austerity -sources
By Luke Baker and Julien Toyer
BRUSSELS | Mon Jun 27, 2011 11:01am EDT

(Reuters) - European Union officials are working on a contingency plan for Greece if its parliament rejects an austerity program and the country cannot receive the next instalment of EU/IMF emergency loans, three euro zone sources said on Monday.

Bloomberg: Greece’s Creditor Banks Move Toward 70% Rollover of Debt to Avert Default

Related News: Europe, Italy, Funds, Finance, Insurance, Economy
Bloomberg: Greece’s Creditor Banks Move Toward 70% Rollover of Debt to Avert Default
By Aaron Kirchfeld and Sonia Sirletti - Jun 28, 2011 1:46 AM GMT+0900

Greek creditors may be headed toward a rollover agreement involving 70 percent of their bonds to prevent a default and meet politicians’ calls that they contribute to Greece’s second rescue in as many years.

Bloomberg: Mortgage-Bond Slump in U.S. Deepening as Jumbo, Alt-A Debt Extend Losses

Related News: Real Estate, US
Bloomberg: Mortgage-Bond Slump in U.S. Deepening as Jumbo, Alt-A Debt Extend Losses
By Jody Shenn - Jun 28, 2011 1:30 AM GMT+0900

U.S. mortgage bonds without government backing are extending losses as signs of a weakening U.S. economy and concern that Greece may default on its debt curb risk-taking.

Finance·Money, Marc Faber


I suppose the world will always develop but that we will always have periods where we have wars and tremendous wealth destruction, or where we have plague and where the population shrinks. I am optimistic about certain issues and pessimistic about others.

- Marc Faber, interview with the Daily Bell, 06/26/2011


Daily Bell: Marc Faber on 21st Century Investing, Why It's Too Late for the Dollar and Why Emerging Markets Look Good

Daily Bell: Marc Faber on 21st Century Investing, Why It's Too Late for the Dollar and Why Emerging Markets Look Good

The Daily Bell

Exclusive Interview
Marc Faber on 21st Century Investing, Why It's Too Late for the Dollar and Why Emerging Markets Look Good
Sunday, June 26, 2011 – with Anthony Wile

The Daily Bell is pleased to present an exclusive interview with Dr. Marc Faber.

Introduction: Dr. Marc Faber was born in Zurich, Switzerland. He went to school in Geneva and Zurich and finished high school with the Matura. He studied Economics at the University of Zurich and, at the age of 24, obtained a Ph.D in Economics magna cum laude. Between 1970 and 1978, Dr. Faber worked for White Weld & Company Limited in New York, Zurich and Hong Kong. Since 1973, he has lived in Hong Kong. From 1978 to February 1990, he was the Managing Director of Drexel Burnham Lambert (HK) Ltd. In June 1990, he set up his own business, MARC FABER LIMITED, which acts as an investment advisor, fund manager and broker/dealer. Dr. Faber publishes a widely read monthly investment newsletter "THE GLOOM, BOOM & DOOM" report which highlights unusual investment opportunities. A regular speaker at various investment seminars, Dr. Faber is well known for his "contrarian" investment approach. He is also associated with a variety of funds.

Economy, Marc Faber


Economics is a very complex system and is essentially human life and the behavior of humans. So to build one theory around it is probably wrong.

- Marc Faber, interview with the Daily Bell, 06/26/2011


Daily Bell: Marc Faber on 21st Century Investing, Why It's Too Late for the Dollar and Why Emerging Markets Look Good

Finance·Money, Marc Faber


I think that interest rates in time will be much higher because the fiscal deficit will stay very elevated or even increase and that will impair the ability of the government to pay the interest. If the ability to pay the interest is impaired, there's only one way out and that is for them to print money, and so eventually you will get higher interest rates.

- Marc Faber, interview with the Daily Bell, 06/26/2011


Daily Bell: Marc Faber on 21st Century Investing, Why It's Too Late for the Dollar and Why Emerging Markets Look Good

Sunday, June 26, 2011

Reuters: France, banks agree Greek debt proposa:source

Reuters: France, banks agree Greek debt proposa:source
PARIS | Sun Jun 26, 2011 5:34pm EDT

(Reuters) - The French government and banks have agreed on a proposal to make a Greek debt rollover more palatable to creditors, a banking source said on Sunday, confirming a report in Le Figaro newspaper.

Bloomberg: European Banks May Need to Raise More Capital

Related News: Hedge Fund Summit, Europe, Japan
Bloomberg: European Banks May Need to Raise More Capital
By Elisa Martinuzzi and Liam Vaughan - Jun 27, 2011 7:01 AM GMT+0900

Deutsche Bank AG (DBK), Germany’s biggest lender, and UniCredit SpA (UCG) are among European banks that may have to raise additional capital after regulators dismissed lenders’ threats that stiffer rules may stunt economic growth.